Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.032932 0.038807 0.044906 0.051672 0.058930 0.066451 0.074802
2026-01-18 0.024054 0.032373 0.041550 0.052246 0.064216 0.077066 0.091778
2026-01-25 0.018335 0.027989 0.039231 0.052875 0.068637 0.085986 0.106263
2026-02-01 0.013973 0.024292 0.036961 0.052902 0.071817 0.093058 0.118283
2026-02-08 0.009694 0.019871 0.033178 0.050592 0.071829 0.096152 0.125476
2026-02-15 0.007000 0.017026 0.030957 0.049831 0.073379 0.100777 0.134198
2026-02-22 0.005385 0.015413 0.030113 0.050601 0.076620 0.107253 0.144946
2026-03-01 0.004133 0.014081 0.029472 0.051492 0.079900 0.113692 0.155580
2026-03-08 0.003313 0.013302 0.029499 0.053175 0.084102 0.121184 0.167407
2026-03-15 0.002467 0.012226 0.028960 0.054007 0.087165 0.127257 0.177523
2026-03-22 0.002377 0.012724 0.030812 0.058098 0.094375 0.138353 0.193594
2026-03-29 0.001448 0.010973 0.028999 0.057025 0.094894 0.141256 0.199884
2026-04-05 0.000975 0.010165 0.028692 0.058136 0.098375 0.147971 0.210976
2026-04-12 0.000534 0.009106 0.027860 0.058454 0.100812 0.153421 0.220593
2026-04-19 0.000255 0.008251 0.027273 0.059065 0.103597 0.159277 0.230687
2026-04-26 0.000067 0.007275 0.026337 0.059082 0.105538 0.164045 0.239434
2026-05-03 NaN 0.005638 0.023872 0.056633 0.104045 0.164413 0.242755
2026-05-10 NaN 0.004669 0.022547 0.055825 0.104708 0.167450 0.249286
2026-05-17 NaN 0.004227 0.022278 0.056642 0.107580 0.173275 0.259223
2026-05-24 NaN 0.003856 0.022107 0.057586 0.110612 0.179294 0.269392
2026-05-31 NaN 0.003712 0.022457 0.059369 0.114811 0.186807 0.281404
2026-06-07 NaN 0.003375 0.022273 0.060249 0.117731 0.192669 0.291371
2026-06-14 NaN 0.003828 0.024153 0.064575 0.125517 0.204810 0.309119